Future Energy Demand

 

  The International Nuclear Forum
Future Energy Demand
 
 
   

units

 

 IEA
(1)

 EU
(2)

 WEC/IIASA
(3)

 WEC/IIASA
(4)

 1996

 2010

 2020

 2020

 2050

World
population

 billion

 5.7

 7.0

 -

 7.9

 10.1

World
primary
energy

 Gtoe

 8.4

 10.9 - 11.8

 12.6

 13.6-15.4

 19.8 - 24.8

 of which
fossil fuels

 %

 90.0

 89.8 - 90.7

 83.8

 71.8-79.6

 58.9 - 72.9

World
electricity
generation

 TWh

 12 850*

 18 200 -20 900

 21 900

 19 100 - 22 900

 31 000 - 41 600

 of which
nuclear

 %

 17.2*

 12.5 - 14.3

 15.0

 11.4 - 20.7

 11.4 - 38.0

Carbon
dioxide
emissions

 Gt

 23.7

 28.8 - 31.5

 32.3

 30.1 - 36.7

 33.7 - 55.4

 of which
OECD
share

 %

 51.5

 41.1 - 42.2

 42.8

 36.6 - 39.3

 21.7 - 28.5

(1) Capacity Constraints Case and Energy Savings Case of World Energy Outlook (International Energy Agency)
(2) 'Conventional Wisdom' scenario of European Energy to 2020 (European Commission)
(3) Cases A & B of Global Energy Perspectives to 2050 and Beyond (World Energy Council/ International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis)
* 1994 figure